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Long Form Reports

Déjà Vu

Last week, Colombian President Abelardo de la Espriella signed Directive 06, by which his government hopes to expedite the prior consultation process especially for high-priority energy projects like Sirius. Here we go deeper into the detail. Somehow, this all sounds terribly familiar.

Monday, October 19th, 2026
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ECP investors giving the benefit of the doubt

ECP investors giving the benefit of the doubt

The lead graph shows the price of Ecopetrol’s ADR’s (Symbol: EC) from January 1st, up nearly 70% from the start of the year. But then oil prices are up, “thanks” to the Iran War, now a wider Middle East conflict and a favorable change in government.

Monday, October 12th, 2026
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Maybe

I don’t think I’m at much risk of being fired from my own business. If my clients don’t like what I’m writing they can stop reading me or if chronic, not renew. Maybe.

Monday, October 5th, 2026
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Promigas’s InfoGas 2026: From warning to structural crisis

Promigas’s InfoGas 2026: From warning to structural crisis

Promigas’s 27th annual natural gas sector report frames 2026 around a single organizing idea: energy security. Colombia has moved from being self-sufficient in gas to permanently import-dependent, and the document argues the country’s real vulnerability is no longer whether molecules exist somewhere in global markets, but whether Colombia has the local capacity to contract, finance, transport, and operate them reliably under stress.

Monday, September 28th, 2026
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Running the NOC

I was and then I wasn’t going to use this biweekly opinion piece to comment on desirable qualities of the new CEO of Ecopetrol. I had decided there was a high risk of publishing just as ECP announced Joaquín Gutiérrez’s appointment. But five days after the board, the NOC has made no announcement and then I saw a relevant editorial in El Heraldo.

Monday, September 21st, 2026
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The long not-so-slow slide

The long not-so-slow slide

Some might hope that gas production improves since SPEC is reaching its capacity and no other LNG import facilities have come online. That’s not the case.

Monday, September 14th, 2026
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May to December

Round one of the presidential elections was in May and we have had Abelardo de la Espriella (ADLE) for a month. What can we expect from now to December?

Monday, September 7th, 2026
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Petro presidency and ECP in pictures

Petro presidency and ECP in pictures

Technically it’s over. Practically speaking, it isn’t. Gustavo Petro was still president of Colombia in July and his temporary substitute for Ricardo Roa will be there until the end of the third quarter. Even if he leaves directly after the board meeting at the end of September, he will have been in charge for virtually all of the quarter.

Monday, August 31st, 2026
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Wise words from the eminent Dr. Johnson

We easily accept that 18th Century technology was radically different from today, but we can be shocked to find that human and political issues haven’t changed.

Monday, August 24th, 2026
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Ecopetrol has a good 2Q26, mostly thanks to Brent

Ecopetrol has a good 2Q26, mostly thanks to Brent

We looked at our Line-of-Business charts to understand the NOC’s 2Q26 results and to no one’s surprise, they were uniformly good and mostly due to Brent.

Monday, August 17th, 2026
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