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What oil price do you use in a business case?

What oil price do you use in a business case?

A reader question arose about forecasting oil prices for business cases so we thought it worthwhile to go through some of the alternative methodologies and say what we would do.

Monday, February 22nd, 2021
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Gender equality challenges in hydrocarbons industry

Recently, I came across several articles, reports and webinars dealing with the special challenges of women in the oil and gas industry. Then I interviewed Marianna Boza, O&G and Mining Head at of Brigard Urrutia and one of the driving forces behind the Colombian chapter of Women in Oil and Gas, an initiative to bring greater gender equity to the sector.

Monday, February 15th, 2021
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Better perspectives on Brent

Better perspectives on Brent

Last Friday Brent nearly closed at US$60 and in honor of that auspicious event, we decided to update our short- and long-term graphs.

Monday, February 8th, 2021
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Ecopetrol makes a hard left turn

The most surprising news of the past week was Ecopetrol’s decision to make a bid for 51.4% of the country’s long-haul electricity transmission provider, ISA. This could be a financial trick by Hacienda to turn 8% of its Ecopetrol stock into cash, a way to assure a floor price for ISA or it could be, as ECP said in its press release, a major step along its way to becoming a diversified energy company.

Monday, February 1st, 2021
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Second wave

Second wave

This past week Colombia passed a number of unfortunate Covid-19 milestones so we thought we should update our graphs. The country passed the 2 million detected cases mark on Saturday and earlier in the week, passed 50,000 deaths attributed to the pandemic.

Monday, January 25th, 2021
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Fearless predictions for a fearful year

OK maybe the title is a little dramatic but I do not think that 2021 is any clearer – anymore free from fear about what might happen – than was 2020. And yet, decisions still have to be made, short-, medium- and long-term decisions, on the best information available.

Monday, January 18th, 2021
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General and Specific Causes

General and Specific Causes

We said we would not be doing the Colombian Share Price Index analysis again because there were too few publicly-traded, Colombia-focused companies remaining to be meaningful. But Covid-19 changes everything and we could not resist a peek at what the topsy-turvy world of 2020 had done to our index.

Monday, January 11th, 2021
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This, too, will pass – maybe not

To say the very least, this year did not develop as expected. Some aspects will pass, as a famous Doonesbury cartoon about the 1970s reminded us, and sometime this year or next we will feel more ‘normal’. Others are here to stay. Not all the members of either category are still clear.

Monday, December 14th, 2020
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Everything is better with higher prices

Everything is better with higher prices

But it helps to have worked on costs as well. A higher Brent price in third quarter made for better netbacks and netback margin this time.

Monday, December 7th, 2020
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Regional roads, key to social resilience

When we started Hydrocarbons Colombia, we wrote a lot about roads. Roads were one of the main flashpoints between the industry and communities as heavy tanker-trucks and drill rigs tore up poorly maintained so-called ‘highways’ and too-frequent accidents created environmental and human suffering. Thankfully, that conflict seems to be largely behind us. Now Ismael Arenas, former head of Ecopetrol and current chairman of the Colombian Association of Engineers (ACIEM) reminds us that roads are still an issue needing coordinated action.

Monday, November 30th, 2020
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