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Long Form Reports

Is peace possible with the ELN?

At the end of March of this year, the government announced the start of formal talks with the ELN guerrilla group. The talks are to move in parallel to the process with the Farc, which is in its final stages after nearly four years.

Monday, June 13th, 2016
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Coca and conflict

Coca and conflict

We found these maps that show areas of high intensity coca growing and many of these areas just ‘happen’ to coincide with zones of anti-oil fervor.

Monday, June 13th, 2016
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CIH letter to the Fifth Commission Congress: correcting the myths

Editor’s Note: This was sent to us because we are on ACIPET’s press release distribution. When we started to read it, we thought it was tutorial material, a kind of Petroleum 101.

Monday, June 6th, 2016
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The rally continues

The rally continues

The rally in oil prices continues. Prices have risen now for three successive months in the case of WTI and four in the case of Brent. It has been difficult to break US$50 but we think traders are beginning to believe in this number.

Monday, June 6th, 2016
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Colombia’s reserves performance 2015

Colombia’s reserves performance 2015

Last week, MinMinas finally published 2015 reserve data. Accentuating the positive, the press release talked mostly about probable and possible reserves, dismissing the decline in proven reserves as a temporary statistical phenomenon.

Monday, May 30th, 2016
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Give Peace a Chance – How Natural Resource companies can help change the world for the better.

Editor’s Note: Warren Levy has been around Colombia and around the oil and gas industry for a long time. With an extensive history in the services industry, he has direct knowledge of the impact it can have on the countryside.

Monday, May 30th, 2016
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Michael Porter: The worst thing that can happen to Colombia is to continue finding oil

When I read this title in a Portafolio article, I feared the worst. So much so that I took weeks to work up the courage to read it.

Monday, May 23rd, 2016
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Lower prices brought lower profits in 1Q16

Lower prices brought lower profits in 1Q16

We predicted 1Q16 would be complicated for some companies based on our calculations of what Brent needed to be for them to break even.  Still all the companies in our study reported positive EBITDA, at least after adjusting for impairment charges.

Monday, May 23rd, 2016
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Now we cannot use prices as an excuse

Editor’s Note: The Colombian Association of Petroleum Engineers (ACIPET) finds its members at the sharp end of the decline in petroleum investment, especially in exploration.

Monday, May 16th, 2016
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Ecopetrol’s LOB results: Transport stronger, E&P weaker

Ecopetrol’s LOB results: Transport stronger, E&P weaker

The dramatically different margins between Transport and Ecopetrol’s other Lines of Business means the profit shift continues. Although E&P and Refining represent nearly 80% of revenues, they represent less than 40% of EBITDA.

Monday, May 16th, 2016
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