“What is signed in Havana will be subject to a plebiscite, whether the Farc likes it or not”, said President Juan Manuel Santos in reaction to an open letter from the guerrilla that it would not be the adequate legal or constitutional instrument.
Guerrilla-initiated events have risen for four successive weeks (on a Moving Average basis) but remain near historic lows. However, what inspired us to publish was a qualitative difference in last week’s ELN activities.
The Minister of Mines and Energy (MinMinas) Tomás González sent a letter to the mayors and governors of the Caribbean coast detailing a resolution from the ministry that he says will help expand existing infrastructure and deal with the region’s natural gas supply issues
The Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (Celac) held its annual summit, which included a discussion on the role of the organization in the final stages of the peace process. The entity’s members will work with the UN in the verification of the transition process.
Press reports say that a formal bilateral cease fire is getting very close, while the United Nations is contemplating a role as an outside observer of the cease fire and laying down of arms. The request is the fruit of an agreement on the mechanism to be used that was signed this week.
We were inspired to do this graph by a recent article from Diario del Huila, lamenting changes in market share for the department as a whole.
While tankers are often the target of complaints from communities in oil producing regions, the ‘not in my backyard’ mentality is just as strong with pipelines, and the consequences of having the Transandino near the city of Tumaco, Nariño, clearly depicts why.
The first negotiations of 2016 have gotten started in Havana this week. The holiday season was calm for the most part, but the March 23 deadline to sign a final agreement looms in the immediate future. Then the hard work to implement the peace transition must take shape.
In the latest advance from Havana, government and Farc negotiators announced that they have reached an agreement on both transitional justice and victim restitution.
At HCC, we abide by the rule that we should not publish articles that are obvious or have nothing new to say. Around the office we use the rule that the worst possible title for an article would be “Man does not bite dog”. We have published a number of articles on security over the past four months but the last time we published both of our standard graphs was on September 14th. Since then there has been little to say beyond: still few incidents; ELN the only problem. However, with the end of the year approaching, we update the graphs and talk about what has – or has not – happened.
2025, Hydrocarbons Colombia, All Rights Reserved.
