News and AnalysIs for

Colombia has not had a monarch since the first decades of the 19^th century, but this week S&P lowered the country’s sovereign debt rating from investment grade to junk. This has serious implications for the county and the industry.

… and even if it is sold, why it won’t have the transformative impact it could.

I was not planning to write about this, assuming that, like tax reform, by the time that anything was published life would have moved on. But then my 94-year-old mother called, upset because CBC News had shown her the violence and looting in Bogotá and she was worried. I realized board members and major investors might also be upset and worried.

We did a partial update of our production by field database and this week we publish some illustrative charts. No surprise really, but it is hard to find a silver lining in the clouds of 2020 although companies are upbeat about Capex in 2021 with oil prices rising.

I have been reluctant to write this because so much seems up in the air but at the same time, the most important political issue affecting Colombian business today is the government’s proposed tax reform.

Because the MinEnergia research institute (UPME) thinks we need more gas imports. We thought our readers might appreciate seeing some of the UPME’s graphs that, in their professional opinion, mean that another re-gasification plant is necessary. The source for all these graphs is the UPME. All we have done is translate the labels and titles – and provide commentary.

Colombia’s export and investment promotion agency, ProColombia, launched a new campaign last week, “Colombia, The Most Welcoming Place in the World”. Also last week, Glencore was told by the National Mining Agency (ANM) that it could not leave.

Crude oil prices have taken a bit of a tumble recently so we thought we should update our standard charts as well as show a new one we have been working on.

This was a decidedly minor news item. It only merited a tweet, not even an article in Hydrocarbons Colombia. But as I investigated, and thought about it, it opened up a number of relevant ideas about E&P, the environment and communities.

Time for us to review prices and netbacks for our Colombia focused publicly traded companies. Prices were up in the quarter but so were costs so not a good quarter on average. As always, individual results may vary.