News and AnalysIs for

The Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Tourism reported that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) destined to sectors not related to mining and energy increased from US$1.299,1M in November 2010 to US$2.634,1M in November 2012. During the course of 2012 the FDI indicator has grown by 12.9%.

The Colombian press and congress is stirred up about the lost hydrocarbons potential of the territory that disappeared in the redrawing of the Colombia-Nicaraguan maritime border (see map by Hydrocarbons Colombia). Nicaragua adds fuel to the fire by publicly rubbing its hands with glee over the prospect of auctioning the zones to deep pocketed oil companies. That may indeed happen – although we think PDVSA will end up with them – but we do not believe this represents lost reserves, production or money to Colombia.

RCN Radio reports what appears to be a Transgas Occidente press release.

In November 2011 and May 2012 there were breaks in the line of the PK78 PK77 sector of the Mariquita-Cali pipeline. In order to repair these breaks, the Transgas de Occidente company has invested CoP$9,000M in a realignment of 550 meters. PK77-PK78 sector is located in the city of Manizales.

Shona Energy Corporation reported its 3Q12 results. Production was up 22% sequentially to just over 16MMcf/d. EBITDA was up 43%. Year-over-year comparisons are dramatic but not really meaningful as the company was just getting production going last year. The company reported Net Earnings Per Share of 1 cent vs a 2 cent (US$) per share loss last year in the same period.

Sintana Energy recently announced a deal with ExxonMobil for the VMM-37 block (in the Middle Magdalena basin) where by the company would keep any conventional resources found on the property but farm-out the unconventional resources to ExxonMobil Exploration Colombia. ExxonMobil would have a 70% share in return for shouldering the exploration costs. Now Sintana has published estimated reserves and the unconventional play is likely 4 times the conventional play just looking at Sintana’s share. In the block as a whole there are estimated to be 14 times as much unconventional play resources as conventional play. The chart shows the range from the “Low” Case (P90) Case to the “Best” Case (P50).

(The USO is the Colombian petroleum workers union. Unrepentantly radically left, it often seems trapped in some Marxist-Leninist twilight zone from before the fall of the Berlin Wall or perhaps before the Second World War. Still its capacity for mischief is unmistakable and so we believe it is important for oil and gas industry stakeholders to keep track of what they up to. We will summarize major news items from their webpage or other sources and publish the summary every Monday. We will reproduce the tone of their items while not agreeing with their messages. )

Now available — Our exclusive report for Inner Circle members

Rumors had flown all weekend – many of them wrong – but the news hit early morning from C&C Energy (aka CyC Energia). Pacific Rubiales will buy the production assets and Llanos exploration blocks of the company in return for PRE stock. The company’s Putumayo and Middle Magdalena exploration assets will go into a NewCo, jointly owned by C&C’s current shareholders and Pacific Rubiales. C&C shareholders get Pacific Rubiales stock, NewCo stock and $0.001 per share.

Source: Yahoo Finance, Hydrocarbons Colombia

Colombian oil stocks started to creep up on Friday afternoon then shot up at the end of trading. Most stocks jumped when the market opened on Monday and then drifted around after the C&C Energy/Pacific Rubiales announcement to finish as seen in the chart. Only one stock finished lower (Petrodorado) and one stock (Suroco) had its run up entirely on Friday afternoon and opened lower on Monday rather than higher.

Resolving a long standing dispute between Colombia and Nicaragua, the International Court in The Hague redrew the maritime boundaries between the two countries today. Colombia keeps the islands in the Caribbean that have been part of the country for a very long time but the court extended Nicaragua’s economic zone further east, surrounding some of this islands and nearly enclosing others. Some offshore blocks disappear from the National Hydrocarbons Agency’s (ANH’s) inventory completely and some have been reduced in size.