This week saw the close of another round of talks in Habana, but the news surrounding the peace process came from Colombia again as accusations that the Farc are orchestrating social unrest in Colombia took center stage. Meanwhile the political spectrum positions for an upcoming election and reacts to the ongoing peace dialogue.
Intercepted communication between organizers of the Farc and the clandestine Communist Party suggests that the guerrilla faction could be involved in the planning of a general strike starting July 20.
Unusually, counts were identical to last week at 23 below recent and long-term averages. This was an average week for non-armed forces reported/guerrilla-initiated incidents. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count was down to 26.5 incidents (down for the seventh straight week) but the 52 week average was stable at 39.2 incidents per week.
This week the peace process started again in Havana on July 1st, but the headline this week was the entry of the ELN, a revolutionary group which split from the FARC decades ago, but after a meeting between leaders of the two guerrilla forces in June, is now lining up to take a role in the peace process.
Counts were down for the third week in a row to 23 below recent and long-term averages. This was a much lighter than normal week for non-armed forces reported/guerrilla-initiated incidents. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count was down to 31.3 incidents (down for the sixth straight week) but the 52 week average was up slightly again to 39.2 incidents per week.
The 10 demands and subsequent additions by the Farc last week made a big splash and Colombia’s major political figures left no doubt that these new demands, which greatly widened the agreed agenda, were not on the table for discussion.
More than 40 points of the Catatumba pipeline were detonated over the weekend creating an environmental emergency as crude flows into the surrounding area.
Colombia’s President Juan Manuel Santos on Sunday called on the Farc to keep their word and stick to the agreed agenda in the peace negotiations in Havana, discarding any notion that he would negotiate on the new terms.
Counts were down slightly to 29 below recent and long-term averages. This was a normal week for non-armed forces reported i.e. guerrilla-initiated incidents. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count was down to 32.3 incidents but the 52 week average was up slightly again to 39.1 incidents per week.
This week marked the second week since peace talks resumed on June 11, with the Farc attempting to expand the reach of an agreement on social participation by publishing a number of demands that it says are minimal for any final agreement to be reached.
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