Last Sunday, October 13, marked the end of the 15th round of talks between the Farc and government negotiators. The positive hope that something would materialize during this round was in the end wishful thinking, and final agreement still looks a long ways away.
Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were back up to 32 consistent with the recent experience but slightly below the long-term average. However, non-Armed Forces incidents were well above average at 12 or 38%. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Despite the rise, our 4-week Moving Average incident count was essentially stable at 29.5 but the 52 week average dropped to was stable at 34.7 incidents per week.
In the last week three successive attacks week have shut down the Caño Limon-Coveñas painting a complicated picture for transport infrastructure in areas where the ELN and Farc operate, and have also stopped Colombian gas exports to Venezuela along a separate pipeline.
As attacks against infrastructure rise, former Senator Piedad Cordoba called for a collective cease fire until Christmas and expressed support for President Juan Manuel Santos, and the Farc acknowledge advances at the negotiating table.
The Bicentennial Pipeline (OBC), along with military personnel, civil authorities, Ecopetrol (NYSE:EC) delegates and aid organizations simulated an oil spill in order to identify readiness in the case of an actual emergency.
Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were down this week at 21 well below recent and long-term averages. This was a below average week for non-armed forces reported/guerrilla-initiated incidents. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count dropped to 29.3 but the 52 week average dropped to was stable at 35.3 incidents per week.
The peace negotiations started another round of talks in Havana, Cuba on Thursday, October 3. There has been much said in the last weeks, but with 2014, an election year, approaching, time is starting to run out.
Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were stable this week at 31 at or above recent but below long-term averages. This was a below average week for non-armed forces reported/guerrilla-initiated incidents. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count went up again to 31.3 but the 52 week average dropped to 35.8 incidents per week.
President Juan Manuel Santos addressed the 68th general assembly of the United Nations in New York and looked to put questions into the peace process from the International Criminal Court (ICC) in the past.
No this is not the flag of some new country. Not even a new region of Colombia. It certainly is not the flag of the region from the eastern cordillera to the Venezuelan border that the Farc and ELN have generously offered to run on behalf of the Colombian people in a post conflict scenario.
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