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Security & Public

Attacks on oil infrastructure drop, but efficiency grows

The number of attacks on oil infrastructure has dropped considerably, in fact in January and February only two were reported, but 2014 showed that the guerrilla’s methods remain very effective despite lowered activity.

Wednesday, March 11th, 2015
Usefulness:
A false alarm

A false alarm

Incident counts went up significantly this week to 33 but qualitatively we are still in the same ‘quieter’ period with respect to guerrilla-initiated activities.

Tuesday, March 10th, 2015
Usefulness:
ELN still a problem

ELN still a problem

Incident counts went down significantly this week to 21 but as the graph shows, our proxy for guerrilla-initiated activity remained in the same ‘channel’ it has followed since the Farc declared its unilateral truce.

Wednesday, March 4th, 2015
Usefulness:
Farc attacks on the fall in 2014

Farc attacks on the fall in 2014

A report from the Peace & Reconciliation NGO found that the Farc’s “armed actions” dropped by 40% in 2014, which it says saved hundreds of lives. But attacks on oil infrastructure, extortion and the increase in ELN attacks are still a worry.

Thursday, February 26th, 2015
Usefulness:

Peace Process week of February 23: Back to the table

Government and Farc negotiators were back at the table this week to return to the issue of victims, and received former UN chief Kofi Annan as part of an effort from the Nobel Peace Prize winner to move the process along, followed by a visit from a US special envoy.

Thursday, February 26th, 2015
Usefulness:
Still thankfully moving sideways despite the ELN

Still thankfully moving sideways despite the ELN

Incident counts went up again this week (to 38) but that was due to increased Armed Forces activity. As the graph shows, our proxy for guerrilla-initiated activity went down.

Tuesday, February 24th, 2015
Usefulness:

Peace Process week of February 16: During the lull…

The last round of the talks with the Farc in Havana came to a close on February 12 so we are in another lull. Time for government negotiators to do their laundry, get reacquainted with their families and deal with other issues on the home front.

Thursday, February 19th, 2015
Usefulness:
Security incidents increasing

Security incidents increasing

The incident count was up by four this week to 34 due to both Armed Forces and non-Armed Forces reported incidents.=”>

Tuesday, February 17th, 2015
Usefulness:

Peace Process week of February 9: Farc continue with cease fire

The Farc made a public announcement that they have been urged by peace advocates to continue with their unilateral cease fire, and pressed the government to make it a bilateral agreement.

Thursday, February 12th, 2015
Usefulness:
Army maintaining activity level

Army maintaining activity level

The incident count was up by two this week to 30 but that was entirely due to the Armed Forces as our measure of guerrilla-initiated incidents stayed flat at 4.

Monday, February 9th, 2015
Usefulness: