We are not at a milestone like ‘100 days’ or ‘six months’ but a lot has happened in the past month from a policy perspective so I thought I should write about it.
February 14th is Valentine’s Day in many parts of the world (and increasingly celebrated in Colombia). It is also the day that BP chose to launch this year’s Energy Outlook, an eagerly-awaited, multi-scenario look at the future of energy demand and supply. (OK, eagerly awaited by nerds like our Analyst.)
Last week, I was at my annual pilgrimage to a high-tech fair in Barcelona and it happens to occur directly after BP publishes its annual Energy Outlook. With the forecast in my head, this year I was particularly looking at the fair for trends that affect the oil and gas business. I found one that will have a definite impact and one that should, theoretically, but for which it was hard to find real-world examples.
On February 14, 2019 the Commission of Experts gave its report on the adoption of fracking / unconventional technologies for Colombian exploration and production. We have written several articles on the content. Here we talk about the press reaction.
We attended the presentation by the Commission of Experts engaged to give recommendations on fracking. The next day, we published a summary of the recommendations, last Monday we explored those in some depth and today we go back to fill in some of the details.
As we published last week, the MinMinas think-tank and research bureau, UPME, published a long document on energy prices just before Christmas. We have picked a few charts we think are interesting.
Last week we wrote a very high-level summary of the Commission of Expert’s recommendations on fracking. This week we go one level deeper and look at the recommendations in detail. Next week will publish our summary of the commission’s findings and conclusions.
Transparency International recently published its Corruption Perception Index (CPI). Boards and ethical investors will be paying attention. After the scandals of recent years, corruption has become a key issue with voters as well.
An anonymous reader sent me an email about our article on Venezuela from a week or so ago. He disagreed with the ACP’s conclusion that turmoil in Colombia’s neighbor was a big opportunity for our oil and gas sector. I concur with him.
Our tracking of terrorism / security incidents has changed since the Farc disarmed in 2017, both in conceptual terms and methodological ones. Based on the latest data, the trend is not good.