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Animal Spirits – The C&C boost one week later

Animal Spirits – The C&C boost one week later

We reported earlier in the week that the Pacific Rubiales-C&C Energy deal had given a boost to the share prices of other Colombia-focused companies. The question was whether the boost would be sustainable: would the “animal spirits” (as one of our experts put it) continue to hold or will the reality that PRE did the deal with C&C and not with someone else bring prices back to earth? As the chart shows, the answer seems to be that the boost was generally sustained.

Sunday, November 25th, 2012
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Petronova patiently – maybe not so patiently – waiting for environmental permits

Petronova published its 3Q12 results and the press release was mostly a review of its exploration activities since production is minimal at this time. Revenues were US$33,708 for the quarter. The company operates the PUT-2 and Tinigua blocks both of which are pending environmental licensing. Petronova also has non-operated working interests in Llanos blocks CPO-06, CPO-07 and CPO-13 where its partner is Tecpetrol. Petronova President and CEO Antonio summarized the company’s quarter saying, “PetroNova successfully closed a CAD$30 million private placement this quarter, which enables the progression of our active exploration program. We expect to drill eight additional exploration wells through mid-2013”.

Sunday, November 25th, 2012
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Ecopetrol’s shares are the fourth most traded in the MILA

El Colombiano reports that last October (2012) Ecopetrol’s shares were the fourth most widely traded in the Integrated Latin American Market (MILA), which integrates the equity markets of Chile, Colombia and Peru. The total value of Ecopetrol shares traded during October was approximately US$445M. In Toronto, the stock closed the month up over US$1.50 although the day before the initial phase of the 2012 Round of auctions it had been up over US$4.00.

Saturday, November 24th, 2012
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Ecopetrol proposes Jorge Pinzón Sánchez for empty board seat

Federico Renjifo was an Ecopetrol board member before he was appointed Minister of Mines and Energy at the beginning of September. He is still a board member as MinMinas but that opened his existing seat to another candidate. Ecopetrol has called a special general assembly for December 6, 2012. So far the only agenda item is election of the missing board member and the company proposes Jorge Pinzón Sánchez of the law firm Opebsa.

Friday, November 23rd, 2012
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Petrodorado updates exploration and financial results 3Q12 … Not much has happened

Petrodorado filed its 3Q12 financial results and MD&A. The company had no production because its only productive block, Moriche, was shut in pending a sale expected to be completed in 4Q12. Thus the focus is on exploration. The company has provided frequent updates on its activities and most are still at early stages. The most advanced is the Dorado-1X well in the Talora block which is in testing but with nothing to report yet.

Thursday, November 22nd, 2012
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Interoil saying goodbye to Colombia

Interoil saying goodbye to Colombia

Interoil published its 3Q12 results and they were not encouraging. There was a net loss in the quarter of US$7.1M and year to date Net Income is down by about 2/3 from 2011. Earlier we documented the continuing decline of Interoil’s Colombian production. Near the bottom of Interoil’s 3Q12 results was the statement “The production decline is a direct result of reduced investment activity due to liquidity constraints. To address this issue, the board has initiated a sales process in Colombia”.

Thursday, November 22nd, 2012
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Ecopetrol maintains its crude oil production target for this year despite TransAndino attack

National business newspaper La Republica reported that Ecopetrol says that despite the attacks of 17 November to Transandino pipeline, management expects to meet its goal of producing around 780,000 bpd on average by the end of this year. Note that this figure is likely production before royalties (see our November Monthly Report). We estimate it is the equivalent of about 655,200 bpd as usually measured (Net of Working Interest and Royalties).

Wednesday, November 21st, 2012
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Gas specialist Shona reports 22 percent sequential growth in production

Shona Energy Corporation reported its 3Q12 results. Production was up 22% sequentially to just over 16MMcf/d. EBITDA was up 43%. Year-over-year comparisons are dramatic but not really meaningful as the company was just getting production going last year. The company reported Net Earnings Per Share of 1 cent vs a 2 cent (US$) per share loss last year in the same period.

Tuesday, November 20th, 2012
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Sintana shows the numbers behind unconventional deal with ExxonMobil

Sintana shows the numbers behind unconventional deal with ExxonMobil

Sintana Energy recently announced a deal with ExxonMobil for the VMM-37 block (in the Middle Magdalena basin) where by the company would keep any conventional resources found on the property but farm-out the unconventional resources to ExxonMobil Exploration Colombia. ExxonMobil would have a 70% share in return for shouldering the exploration costs. Now Sintana has published estimated reserves and the unconventional play is likely 4 times the conventional play just looking at Sintana’s share. In the block as a whole there are estimated to be 14 times as much unconventional play resources as conventional play. The chart shows the range from the “Low” Case (P90) Case to the “Best” Case (P50).

Tuesday, November 20th, 2012
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Pacific Rubiales buys CyC Energia

Rumors had flown all weekend – many of them wrong – but the news hit early morning from C&C Energy (aka CyC Energia). Pacific Rubiales will buy the production assets and Llanos exploration blocks of the company in return for PRE stock. The company’s Putumayo and Middle Magdalena exploration assets will go into a NewCo, jointly owned by C&C’s current shareholders and Pacific Rubiales. C&C shareholders get Pacific Rubiales stock, NewCo stock and $0.001 per share.

Monday, November 19th, 2012
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