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Going out on a limb…

Rather than scatter my predictions over a number of articles, I decided to consolidate them in one. At the very least, it will be easier to check how I / we did next January.

Monday, January 30th, 2017
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Usefulness:
Colombian industry more concentrated

Colombian industry more concentrated

Noticing GTE’s (TSX:GTE) huge growth in YE2016 reserves and thinking about Ecopetrol’s (NYSE:EC) policy to revert all Association contracts got us thinking about concentration / consolidation in the Colombian oil and gas industry.

Monday, January 30th, 2017
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Fuel imports decrease but demand is strong

Fuel imports decrease but demand is strong

According to the National Statistics Department (DANE), fuel imports fell during the January-November period of last year. Total imports also decreased. Colombian total imports were US$40.8B in 2016.

Thursday, January 26th, 2017
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Buying Mobil’s stations is tempting: Texaco

Gilson Ribeiro, Manager of Chevron’s (NYSE: CVX) Fuels and Lubricants for Colombia and Central America said the Colombian fuel market has not seen big changes like the ones that are coming now that ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM) is leaving the country after 50 or 60 years.

Thursday, January 26th, 2017
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Fracking? In Colombia?

Fracking? In Colombia?

The current oil price environment revives the possibility of doing fracking in the country. Oil prices have risen and their behavior has been steady in recent months. The government is preparing regulations to allow this practice in the country.

Thursday, January 26th, 2017
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Peace Process: We are not sure how ‘fast’ the fast-track will be

January 31st will be a crucial date for the implementation of the peace agreements because all Farc combatants are supposed in specific rural zones as a prelude to their effective demobilization. However, seems like the peace agreements’ implementation via ‘fast track’ will not be as fast as the government had anticipated.

Thursday, January 26th, 2017
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Final royalties budget by department for 2017

Final royalties budget by department for 2017

Juan Manuel Santos, President of Colombia, signed a decree to approve the royalties’ budget for 2017-2018. Colombian departments can use the money for priority investment projects.

Wednesday, January 25th, 2017
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ACP optimistic about 2017

The last two years have been difficult for oil industry because of low oil prices and social issues. This caused many projects to stop and investments to fall. Nevertheless, the Colombian Petroleum Association (ACP) believes that investment levels will increase this year.

Wednesday, January 25th, 2017
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Transportation remains biggest threat to oil project viability

Colombian media reported the country has one of the most expensive production processes in the world.

Wednesday, January 25th, 2017
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CSR Summary: communities demand companies hire local staff

Communities in Casanare, Meta and Barrancabermeja had altercations with Ecopetrol (NYSE: EC) and Pacific Exploration and Production’s (TSX: PEN) staff, alleging the companies are not hiring local workers to develop their projects, and Promigas awarded full scholarships for students of the Caribbean region. These and other Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) projects in our periodic summary.

Wednesday, January 25th, 2017
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