News and AnalysIs for

Maybe he took vacation or maybe these things just take time. The changes were announced weeks ago and the former head of the ANH, Orlando Cabrales, has already made a few speeches in his new capacity as Vice-Minister of Energy. The new head just took possession last week and has made no public comments. From a MinMinas press release, translated and with commentary by Hydrocarbons Colombia.

Portafolio reported that during the XVI Naturgas Congress, the superintendent of Domestic Public Services, César González Muñoz, said the management of the Gas Development Fee Fund budget has been inefficient, because the US$30.5M (77% of total approved projects) invested between 2007 and 2012 benefited only 54,601 of the 78,823 users the government expected to benefit.

The USO reports this week that workers at Reficar and with Oxy are getting closer to strikes, the union says because local management refuses to talk. In the Reficar case, the USO claims that executives from Bogota have contacted the union but Reficar management will not set up the mechanisms to start negotiating. In the case of Oxy workers in Arauca, the union has presented demands but the company will not budge.

Incidents were down this week to 40 just about the long term average. Again this week a higher than recent average number of the items were initiated by the Armed Forces which is a good sign. In fact, the ratio is sufficiently high to think that either the traditional media are only reporting extreme events or the Farc are relatively quiet. (On average during the past year, 75% of incidents have been initiated by the Armed Forces and this week the percentage is 90%.) Our 4-week Moving Average was up slightly at 43 incidents per week closer to what amounts to a long-term average.

This week concluded the seventh round of peace talks and both the government and the FARC commented on it. The parties issued a joint statement in which they say: “We continue to make progress on discussion of the first item on the agenda and in building agreements on issues of access and use of land, undeveloped land, property formalization, agricultural frontier and protection of reserves areas.”

RCN Radio reports that according to Pacific Rubiales’ vice president Federico Restrepo, the company has increased its oil reserves thanks to projects like the La Creciente gas field (Sucre) and others developed in Peru. Pacific also increased its reserves to 517M proved barrels with other findings which will allow oil supplies until 2027.

ProductionMinMinas recently published final oil and final gas production numbers by month for the period January to December 2012. The graph shows the distribution of production by department.

Caracol Radio reported that the government will use drones to monitor and protect the Cano Limon Coveñas and TranAandino pipelines. Additionally, the government will increase the rewards to prevent attacks on pipelines and also will use twenty helicopters recently purchased for the same purpose.

Mayor General (R) Jorge Rodríguez Clavijo addressed the Colombo-Canadian Chamber of Commerce this morning, and while he was realistic about the challenges, he was upbeat about the changes in the past 10 years and about the Santos government’s efforts in the field. He stayed away from political issues like the peace talks or the impact of Venezuela and kept to the facts.

As reported by RCN Radio, road blocks were lifted around Yopal, capital of the Casanare department (which produces 18% of the country’s oil and 70% of its gas) after citizens barriaded them to protest the lack of water. According to Ivan Mustafa, Deputy Minister of Water, an agreement between the government and the people of Yopal was reached. Meanwhile, people will continue to receive water in tanker trucks.