News and AnalysIs for

Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were up sharply to 39 above recent and long-term averages. Non-Armed Forces-reported incidents were triple the average in absolute terms and nearly so as a percentage of the total. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count was up at 35.3 and the 52 week average was also up slightly at 31.3 incidents per week.

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