News and AnalysIs for

Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were down to 33, below recent but still above long-term averages. Non-Armed-Forces-reported incidents were above average both in percentage and absolute terms. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Correspondingly, our 4-week Moving Average incident count was down at 40.5 and the 52 week average was down slightly at 31.0 incidents per week.

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