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Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were up sharply at 45 above recent and long-term averages. Non-Armed Forces-reported incidents were above average both in percentage and absolute terms. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Correspondingly, our 4-week Moving Average incident count was up at 37.5 and the 52 week average was also up slightly at 31.2 incidents per week.

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