News and AnalysIs for

Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were down to 33, below recent but above long-term averages. Non-Armed-Forces-reported incidents were just about average in percentage terms and in absolute terms. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count was down correspondingly at 34.0 and the 52 week average was stable at 31.3 incidents per week.

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