News and AnalysIs for

Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were down significantly this week at 16 well below recent and long-term averages. However, non-Armed Forces incidents were about twice the long-term average in percentage terms, about average in absolute terms. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Correspondingly our 4-week Moving Average incident count was down at 26.5 and the 52 week average was down slightly but essentially unchanged at 32.8 incidents per week.

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