News and AnalysIs for

Incidents near areas of interest to the oil and gas industry were up to 39, above recent and long-term averages. Non-Armed-Forces-reported incidents were slightly above average in percentage terms and in absolute terms. This is our indicator of increased guerrilla-initiated activity. Our 4-week Moving Average incident count was up correspondingly at 36.3 and the 52 week average was up slightly at 31.3 incidents per week.

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