News and AnalysIs for

Ecopetrol filed three simultaneous material information disclosures on July 23rd, mapping the governance changes that will carry the state oil company through the remaining days of the Petro administration and position it for the incoming de la Espriella government.

Colombia’s most consequential gas supply event of 2026 begins Thursday. SPEC confirmed its maintenance window runs July 30^th to August 3^rd, with the coordination process for the five-day closure having involved thermal generators, non-thermal terminal users, the FSRU operator, and energy sector authorities.

The Foro del Gas 2026, organized by the Bolsa Mercantil de Colombia (BMC) and the Consejo Nacional de Operación de Gas Natural (CNO-Gas), takes starts Thursday July 30^th at the Grand Hyatt Hotel in Bogotá, the same day SPEC’s scheduled maintenance begins, making the timing unusually pointed.

With the incoming government facing a fiscal adjustment estimated at five percentage points of GDP by 2030, a group of former finance ministers and economic research directors assembled by Valora Analitik has begun sketching the architecture of what Colombia’s next tax reform should look like and the consensus points toward structural change rather than incremental rate increases.

No, we are not discussing biofuels. Rather, given that this is our last “What We Think” for the Petro government, we will give our evaluation, especially of the outgoing (already gone?) MinEnergia.

Ecopetrol announced on July 22^nd that it has secured nine Contingency Supply Contracts making 81 GBTUD of natural gas available to the market to backstop supply during the SPEC LNG regasification terminal’s scheduled maintenance from July 30^th to August 3^rd.