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Give way to uncertainty

Monday, April 6th, 2026

Our 2026 publishing plan called for a discussion of CAPEX and Brent assumptions this week since we expected to have the major companies’ 2025 reports. We will do that but the Iran War has played havoc with oil prices and President Donald Trump’s speech the other night apparently reassured no one that global crude markets would return to normal anytime soon.

Recent News

SPEC maintenance exposed gas planning vulnerabilities

A post-mortem analysis by Asoenergía – the Colombian Association of Large Industrial and Commercial Energy Consumers – of the October 2025 maintenance shutdown of the SPEC LNG regasification terminal in Cartagena has revealed how poor supply planning drove residential gas contract prices to nearly three times their normal level in just a matter of days.

Wednesday, April 1st, 2026
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Reficar electrical failure resolved but under investigation

Reficar electrical failure resolved but under investigation

The Refinería de Cartagena (Reficar) returned to normal operations by March 24, 2026, nine days after an electrical supply failure struck the facility on March 15. Ecopetrol confirmed that all processing units are operating normally and that the supply of refined fuels to the national market was maintained throughout the incident.

Tuesday, March 31st, 2026
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Komodo could have been a “Guyana” event

The decision to halt the Komodo deepwater well – a joint project between Ecopetrol and Occidental Petroleum in the Colombian Caribbean – did not merely delay an exploration campaign.

Tuesday, March 31st, 2026
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Petro announces Colombia will exit international investment arbitration system

President Gustavo Petro announced on March 25, 2026 that Colombia will withdraw from the international investment arbitration system – the framework under which foreign investors can bring disputes against states before private arbitral tribunals rather than national courts – citing the structural bias he argues such tribunals exhibit in favor of private claimants over sovereign governments.

Tuesday, March 31st, 2026
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High Court holds pipeline companies liable

A Constitutional Court ruling issued in October 2025 — Sentence T-390-25 — has sent shockwaves through Colombia’s oil and gas sector by holding Ecopetrol and its logistics subsidiary Cenit responsible for environmental and human rights damages caused by armed group attacks on the Oleoducto Trasandino (OTA), a 300-kilometer crude oil pipeline in Nariño that has been suspended since 2023 and for which no restart date exists.

Tuesday, March 31st, 2026
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NG Energy reports full year 2025 results

NG Energy reports full year 2025 results

NG Energy International filed its 2025 annual results on March 30, 2026 — a document that tells two stories simultaneously: a year of operational turbulence absorbed and resolved, and a company that has fundamentally repositioned itself for a materially stronger 2026.

Monday, March 30th, 2026
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